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Will Yudkowsky agree that his "death with dignity" post overstated the risk of extinction from AI, by end of 2029?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
18%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Resolves YES if he agrees with this publicly. Otherwise, at market close, I'll ask him somehow, and resolve based on the answer. Resolves N/A if he doesn't answer me.

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/j9Q8bRmwCgXRYAgcJ/miri-announces-new-death-with-dignity-strategy

I will not trade on this market after 2022.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters99
VolumeM49k

Capture #

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Will Yudkowsky agree that his "death with dignity" post overstated the risk of extinction from AI, by end of 2029?
18%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-19

Resolves YES if he agrees with this publicly. Otherwise, at market close, I'll ask him somehow, and resolve based on the answer. Resolves N/A if he doesn't answer me.

https://www.lesswrong..

Last updated: 2025-05-19
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 99
Volume: M49k

Embed #

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