Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st 2032 at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).
Questions with the same criteria:
@/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d18e9fd38cd1
@/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a380452919f1
@/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-93a1ac777df5
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@/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-600c021a4d39
@/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before
@/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-0f87d48233f5 (this question)
@/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-02fec46476dd
@/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a34a5044ccca
@/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d778d2f304f5
@/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-607391b6e7ff
@/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-9594f28b5777
@/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-c3873b782b65
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@/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-ca980dd1dca2
@/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-719c22dafd13
Numeric market:
@/RemNi/what-year-do-we-get-fusion-reactors
Other reference points for fusion reactors:
@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-get-fusio
@/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-585b179f8ac3
@/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-ba35c785123c
Other questions for 2032:
@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2032
@/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2032
@/RemNi/will-a-human-venture-again-onto-the-b347b1a76a97
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@/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-ffd180fe8e3d
@/RemNi/will-1m-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-0f2acadab75f
@/RemNi/will-ai-extend-english-before-2032
@/RemNi/discovery-of-matter-outside-our-3d
@/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be-93569dad097d
@/RemNi/will-we-get-rouge-ai-before-2032
Engineering breakeven is defined here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fusion_energy_gain_factor#Engineering_breakeven
The fusion reactor must have been built by human civilization or one of its descendants in order to qualify in the context of this question.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 69 |
| Volume | M4.7k |
Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st 2032 at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).
Questions with the same...