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Will Nate Silver join Bluesky before 2026?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
36%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Resolves to "yes" if Nate Silver posts on X that he is on Bluesky or verifies on Bluesky that it's the real Nate Silver before 2026.

https://x.com/NateSilver538/status/1859320712558743913

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters17
VolumeM459

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will Nate Silver join Bluesky before 2026?
36%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-29

Resolves to "yes" if Nate Silver posts on X that he is on Bluesky or verifies on Bluesky that it's the real Nate Silver before 2026.

https://x.com/NateSilver538/status/1859320712558743913

Last updated: 2025-05-29
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 17
Volume: M459

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<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-h8IyLE88gd" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

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