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Criteria for Resolution:
Definition of "New Country":
Definition of Invasion:
Invasion includes declared wars, proxy wars, non-declared wars, or actions described by Russia as “sending volunteers with tanks to help Russian-speaking resistance.” There must be a de-facto invasion involving Russian troops.
The invaded country must at least officially acknowledge that it is being invaded by Russia or its proxies.
Criteria for Invasion:
De-Facto Invasion: The presence of Russian troops or proxies on the territory of the invaded country, engaging in military actions.
Official Acknowledgment: The government of the invaded country must officially acknowledge the invasion by Russia or its proxies.
No Requirement for Resistance: If the invaded country refuses to fight back, it will still be considered an invasion as long as there is an official acknowledgment.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 41 |
| Volume | M4.2k |
Criteria for Resolution:
Definition of "New Country":