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Will Manifold take down any user content due to legal threats that violate free speech principles before 2030?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
34%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Non-exhaustive list of things that do not count:

A comment that contains classified plans for a nuclear weapon is deleted because it's illegal.

Someone requests their own content to be deleted, Manifold doesn't have a way to do this, they due Manifold under GDPR or similar.

Manifold themselves publishes an article on their Substack, then takes it down when someone complains.

Non-exhaustive list of things that do count:

Someone writes a letter to Manifold threatening to sue them for libel because someone posted a market that was critical of them, or actually does sue Manifold, and Manifold takes the market down.

A market about someone with a history of legal threats suddenly disappears, and Manifold refuses to provide any explanation.

I'm open to ideas on how to operationalize this better, please ask questions and make suggestions.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters7
VolumeM1.1k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will Manifold take down any user content due to legal threats that violate free speech principles before 2030?
34%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-06-16

Non-exhaustive list of things that do not count:

A comment that contains classified plans for a nuclear weapon is deleted because it's illegal.

Someone requests their own content to be deleted, Manifold doesn't have a way to do this, they due...

Last updated: 2025-06-16
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 7
Volume: M1.1k

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