Resolution Criteria
This market resolves to YES if the English Wikipedia article currently titled "Gulf of Mexico" is officially renamed to any other title before January 1, 2026. The market resolves to NO if the article title remains "Gulf of Mexico" through January 1, 2026. Technical moves that temporarily change the title but revert back to "Gulf of Mexico" within 24 hours do not count as a title change.
Considerations
Title changes on Wikipedia typically occur when there are significant shifts in how terms are used in reliable sources or when compelling reasons emerge that align with Wikipedia's naming policies
The process requires community consensus through formal discussion
The current decision is not to change the name to “Gulf of America” despite the January 2025 executive order to change the name in the United States
Vandalism or unauthorized changes that are quickly reverted do not count as official title changes
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 14 |
| Volume | M342 |
Resolution Criteria
This market resolves to YES if the English Wikipedia article currently titled "Gulf of Mexico" is officially renamed to any other title before January 1, 2026. The market resolves to NO if the article title remains "Gulf of...