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Will 50% or more of AWS developers stop coding for AWS in the next 24 months?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
10%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

A leaked audio has surfaced where AWS's CEO Matt Garman claims that "most developers might not be coding" in the next 24 months: https://www.businessinsider.com/aws-ceo-developers-stop-coding-ai-takes-over-2024-8

This market seeks to track his prediction as regards AWS itself.

This market will resolve YES if a credible source states that 50% or more of the developers working for AWS as of early September 2024 are laid off or moved to non-software engineering positions such as product management within the next two years.

Otherwise, it will resolve NO.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters37
VolumeM4.6k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will 50% or more of AWS developers stop coding for AWS in the next 24 months?
10%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-05

A leaked audio has surfaced where AWS's CEO Matt Garman claims that "most developers might not be coding" in the next 24 months: https://www.businessinsider.com/aws-ceo-developers-stop-coding-ai-takes-over-2024-8

This market seeks to track his...

Last updated: 2025-05-05
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 37
Volume: M4.6k

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