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Will the United States elect a woman president by 2030?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
27%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

This question will resolve positively if, at any point before January 1, 2030, a woman is elected and subsequently inaugurated as the President of the United States of America, or a vice president becomes president.

For the purposes of this question, "elected" means that a woman has won the majority of electoral votes in a U.S. presidential election, as officially certified by the U.S. Congress, and "inaugurated" means that she has officially taken the oath of office as prescribed by the U.S. Constitution.

The question will resolve negatively if no woman has been elected and inaugurated as President of the United States by the specified date.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters52
VolumeM2.9k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will the United States elect a woman president by 2030?
27%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-06-17

This question will resolve positively if, at any point before January 1, 2030, a woman is elected and subsequently inaugurated as the President of the United States of America, or a vice president becomes president.

For the purposes of this...

Last updated: 2025-06-17
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 52
Volume: M2.9k

Embed #

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