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Will there be a notable book-burning event on a US college campus before 2030?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
25%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Must be intentional. An accidental library fire doesn't count.

A single person burning a few of their own books doesn't count. Must involve several people and a large number of books, somewhere public or semi-public.

Only events after market creation.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters46
VolumeM2.9k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will there be a notable book-burning event on a US college campus before 2030?
25%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-06-10

Must be intentional. An accidental library fire doesn't count.

A single person burning a few of their own books doesn't count. Must involve several people and a large number of books, somewhere public or semi-public.

Only events after market...

Last updated: 2025-06-10
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 46
Volume: M2.9k

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-jFprAXMTNi0gXmmR4nQX" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

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