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Will there be a half-trillionaire by the end of 2025?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
42%
About Even
Yes

Question description #

Resolves according to the Forbes Real Time Billionaires list. If at any point before the end of 2025, any person has a displayed net worth greater than or equal to $500 billion USD, this market resolves YES.

Otherwise, it resolves NO.

If Forbes stops updating their list, I will pick a new canonical source that seems as reliable as possible.

@/Sketchy/who-will-be-the-first-halftrilliona

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters39
VolumeM15k

Capture #

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Will there be a half-trillionaire by the end of 2025?
42%
About Even
Last updated: 2025-06-14

Resolves according to the Forbes Real Time Billionaires list. If at any point before the end of 2025, any person has a displayed net worth greater than or equal to $500 billion USD, this market resolves YES.

Otherwise, it resolves NO.

If Forbes...

Last updated: 2025-06-14
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 39
Volume: M15k

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<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-jbn2uilcqd" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

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