We aren't currently maintaining Metaforecast. We hope to do so again in the future.
To prevent private market shenanigans it will have to be 2 $1bn+ valuation rounds in series, or an acquisition, IPO or direct listing at $1bn+. For public markets valuations I will take the valuation at the close of the trading day.
My discretion will be used to adjudicate how contractor use applies to the “one person” criteria. I will not bet in this market.
Inspired by Sam Altman’s latest comments here: https://x.com/andrewmichaelio/status/1752909423826067776?s=46&t=va-CTu7Has7Aq_D1_X5Thw
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 54 |
| Volume | M16k |
To prevent private market shenanigans it will have to be 2 $1bn+ valuation rounds in series, or an acquisition, IPO or direct listing at $1bn+. For public markets valuations I will take the valuation at the close of the trading day.
My discretion...