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Will Humanity deploy any new technology in an unsafe way by 2030? (Contra LeCun)

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
93%
Very likely
Yes

Question description #

Context:

[image]Resolves Yes if any counterexample to Yann's claim here occurs before 2030, in my judgement. Resolves No otherwise.

I will not trade in this market.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters23
VolumeM1.3k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will Humanity deploy any new technology in an unsafe way by 2030? (Contra LeCun)
93%
Very likely
Last updated: 2025-05-24

Context:

[image]Resolves Yes if any counterexample to Yann's claim here occurs before 2030, in my judgement. Resolves No otherwise.

I will not trade in this market.

Last updated: 2025-05-24
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 23
Volume: M1.3k

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-l0Zs0W3Y5p8VLQA1QyVo" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

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