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Will the Supreme Court decide the status of the Equal Rights Amendment by the end of 2028?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
32%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Biden has claimed that, in his view, the Equal Rights Amendment has already been ratified as the 28th Amendment:

https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2025/01/17/politics/joe-biden-equal-right-amendment

But the Archivist previously rejected this argument:

https://www.archives.gov/press/press-releases/2025/nr25-004

Update 2025-05-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified what will not count as the Supreme Court "deciding the status" of the Equal Rights Amendment for the purposes of this market:

Denying a petition for a writ of certiorari.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters11
VolumeM2.5k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will the Supreme Court decide the status of the Equal Rights Amendment by the end of 2028?
32%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-06-03

Biden has claimed that, in his view, the Equal Rights Amendment has already been ratified as the 28th Amendment:

https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2025/01/17/politics/joe-biden-equal-right-amendment

But the Archivist previously rejected this argument:...

Last updated: 2025-06-03
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 11
Volume: M2.5k

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