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Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
6%
Very unlikely
Yes

Question description #

This question resolves YES if Donald Trump is impeached by the House of Representatives, and also removed from the office of the US presidency.

For that to happen, the House of Representatives would need to pass articles of impeachment, and the Senate would need to vote to convict Donald Trump by 2/3rds majority. A vote to convict immediately removes the President.

This question resolves NO if impeachment and removal does not occur and it is 21 Jan 2029, or if Donald Trump ceases to be US President for other reasons (e.g. death, resignation).

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters35
VolumeM5.3k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term?
6%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2025-06-16

This question resolves YES if Donald Trump is impeached by the House of Representatives, and also removed from the office of the US presidency.

For that to happen, the House of Representatives would need to pass articles of impeachment, and the...

Last updated: 2025-06-16
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 35
Volume: M5.3k

Embed #

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