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Will wildfires in Israel cause any deaths within the coming two weeks?
Background: As of the creation of this market there have been intense wildfires in the Jerusalem area (Eshtaol, Latrun) since the morning of April 30th. So far there have been no deaths directly attributed to the fires, though several people are being treated for smoke inhalation.
Clarification of resolution criteria and edge cases:
Any wildfires count, not just ones active at the time of market creation. Deaths must be directly attributable to the fires, pre-existing medical conditions or no.
Deaths must occur within the time-frame to count. Deaths after the deadline the may have been caused by events before the deadline don't count.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 15 |
| Volume | M8.7k |
Will wildfires in Israel cause any deaths within the coming two weeks?
Background: As of the creation of this market there have been intense wildfires in the Jerusalem area (Eshtaol, Latrun) since the morning of April 30th. So far there have been no...