Resolves as YES if 95% of individuals diagnosed with cancer are alive and cancer-free (complete remission) 18 months after initial diagnosis, in a least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.
In order for this question to resolve as YES, there has to be credible evidence in each qualifying country that this threshold has been reached. This evidence (e.g. clinical studies) must take into consideration patients diagnosed with cancer at least 18 months prior to January 1st 2035.
Questions with the same criteria:
@/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-bf2acb801224
@/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-e2cd2abbbed6
@/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-92c17acb77f1
@/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-7e534a91d188
@/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-7ddfe58feb89
@/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor
@/RemNi/will-we-have-a-cure-for-cancer-befo
@/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-ffd180fe8e3d
@/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-7973daa750f9
@/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-06bd353512dc
@/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-8ae988ef1cac (this question)
@/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-d3d4a061f891
@/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-5d430e6e7829
@/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-99db0a1a6f37
Numeric market:
@/RemNi/what-year-do-we-get-a-cure-for-canc
Other questions for 2035:
@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2033-34ec8e1d00fd
@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-ece7abf70bde
@/RemNi/will-a-human-venture-onto-the-lunar-163b9107ef15
@/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-ab3eca7983aa
@/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d778d2f304f5
@/RemNi/will-a-human-venture-onto-the-surfa-285b5811deab
Other reference points for cure for cancer:
@/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-mars-before-we
@/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-939ead04dfb1
@/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-ba35c785123c
The cohorts considered in these studies must be statistically representative of that country's population.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 28 |
| Volume | M3.9k |
Resolves as YES if 95% of individuals diagnosed with cancer are alive and cancer-free (complete remission) 18 months after initial diagnosis, in a least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy..