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Will there be an assassination of an American politician by the end of 2025?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
> 99%
Virtually certain
Yes

Question description #

According to Wikipedia, there have been 58 assassinated American politicians, with the most recent being Linda Collins in 2019.

Will there be another American political assassination by the end of 2025 (as determined by Wikipedia)?

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters24
VolumeM1.7k

Capture #

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Will there be an assassination of an American politician by the end of 2025?
> 99%
Virtually certain
Last updated: 2025-06-15

According to Wikipedia, there have been 58 assassinated American politicians, with the most recent being Linda Collins in 2019.

Will there be another American political assassination by the end of 2025 (as determined by Wikipedia)?

Last updated: 2025-06-15
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 24
Volume: M1.7k

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