We aren't currently maintaining Metaforecast. We hope to do so again in the future.
Elon is extra keen to get to Mars because of AI risk. Will he be too late?
Resolves to whichever is first:
(https://manifold.markets/embed/ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708)2: There are 100 people alive on Mars (NO)
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 35 |
| Volume | M3.4k |
Elon is extra keen to get to Mars because of AI risk. Will he be too late?
Resolves to whichever is first:
(https://manifold.markets/embed/ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708)2: There are 100...