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July 2024 unemployment data triggered the Sahm rule, which is an indicator that the US is in a recession.
This market resolves YES if the NBER declares, before August 2025 (US eastern time), that the US entered a recession that began or was ongoing in July 2024.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 50 |
| Volume | M18k |
July 2024 unemployment data triggered the Sahm rule, which is an indicator that the US is in a recession.
This market resolves YES if the NBER declares, before August 2025 (US eastern time), that the US entered a recession that began or was ongoing...