We aren't currently maintaining Metaforecast. We hope to do so again in the future.
The weapon must detonate, meaning nuclear yield exceeding chemical yield.
Offensive, peaceful, or accidental use is not included.
See also: @/EvanDaniel/will-an-aboveground-nuclear-test-ta
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 15 |
| Volume | M4.4k |
The weapon must detonate, meaning nuclear yield exceeding chemical yield.
Offensive, peaceful, or accidental use is not included.
See also: @/EvanDaniel/will-an-aboveground-nuclear-test-ta