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Will a humanoid robot set foot on the Moon before the next biological human

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
44%
About Even
Yes

Question description #

This market resolves YES if a humanoid robot physically makes contact with the lunar surface before the next human does, and NO otherwise. Resolution will be based on official announcements from space agencies (NASA, CNSA, etc.) and verified mission data.

Key context:

China's Chang'e-8 mission plans to send a humanoid robot to the Moon's south pole in 2028

NASA's Artemis 3, the first crewed Moon landing since Apollo 17, is targeted for September 2026

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters20
VolumeM4.3k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will a humanoid robot set foot on the Moon before the next biological human
44%
About Even
Last updated: 2025-05-18

This market resolves YES if a humanoid robot physically makes contact with the lunar surface before the next human does, and NO otherwise. Resolution will be based on official announcements from space agencies (NASA, CNSA, etc.) and verified mission...

Last updated: 2025-05-18
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 20
Volume: M4.3k

Embed #

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