Resolves YES if the California Independence Plebiscite Initiative (or any other initiative with the goal of advancing California independence) is voted on in the 2026 election in California.
Practically, this means:
It must get enough signatures to be placed on the ballot
It must survive all legal challenges stopping it from being placed on the ballot or having votes on it being counted
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 21 |
| Volume | M2.3k |
Resolves YES if the California Independence Plebiscite Initiative (or any other initiative with the goal of advancing California independence) is voted on in the 2026 election in California.
Practically, this means:
It must get enough signatures to...