MetaforecastStatus
SearchToolsAbout

‌

‌
‌
‌
‌
‌
‌

If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
50%
About Even
Yes

Question description #

If he does not win or does not serve a full year in office for any reason, resolves N/A. Resolution source: https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating

Update 2025-03-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Source Update:

The market will now use the RCP average approval rating instead of the 538 Job Approval average.

All resolution criteria remain the same except for this change in the source metric.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters106
VolumeM16k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?
50%
About Even
Last updated: 2025-06-17

If he does not win or does not serve a full year in office for any reason, resolves N/A. Resolution source: https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating

Update 2025-03-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment):...

Last updated: 2025-06-17
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 106
Volume: M16k

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-oqoeng8ulk" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

Preview