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Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 2% in one day in 2025 after April 4, 2025?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
> 99%
Virtually certain
Yes

Question description #

After April 4, 2025, this will happen again.

Resolution Criteria: The market will be based on closing prices only, comparing the close to close price movement from one day to the next.

Intraday Prices: Any price movements within the trading day will not be considered.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters27
VolumeM16k

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Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 2% in one day in 2025 after April 4, 2025?
> 99%
Virtually certain
Last updated: 2025-05-12

After April 4, 2025, this will happen again.

Resolution Criteria: The market will be based on closing prices only, comparing the close to close price movement from one day to the next.

Intraday Prices: Any price movements within the trading day...

Last updated: 2025-05-12
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 27
Volume: M16k

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