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Will Shanghai be nuked in 2025?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Resolves YES if the city of Shanghai suffers attack by nuclear weaponry in the year 2025, including by a non-national actor.

I'm putting this up as a market because it's something I had a dream about in roughly 2010.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters13
VolumeM2.1k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will Shanghai be nuked in 2025?
1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2025-06-14

Resolves YES if the city of Shanghai suffers attack by nuclear weaponry in the year 2025, including by a non-national actor.

I'm putting this up as a market because it's something I had a dream about in roughly 2010.

Last updated: 2025-06-14
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 13
Volume: M2.1k

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-psARIOllZL" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

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