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Will Dwarkesh do a podcast with Satoshi Nakamoto before 2031?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
10%
Very unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Satoshi Nakamoto has appeared on a published video/audio podcast with Dwarkesh Patel before January 1st 2031.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters11
VolumeM901

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will Dwarkesh do a podcast with Satoshi Nakamoto before 2031?
10%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2025-06-03

Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Satoshi Nakamoto has appeared on a published video/audio podcast with Dwarkesh Patel before January 1st 2031.

Last updated: 2025-06-03
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 11
Volume: M901

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-q6086NCCNL" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

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