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Did "Elon Musk and Russia participate in election interference via Starlink"?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
8%
Very unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Resolution criteria: up to 40% for Elon, up to 40% for Russia's involvement, remaining 20% for the use of Starlink

[image]This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through BlueSky. They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.

I will not be trading in those markets (except buying & selling at market creation to increase trader count).

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters7
VolumeM1.4k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Did "Elon Musk and Russia participate in election interference via Starlink"?
8%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2025-06-15

Resolution criteria: up to 40% for Elon, up to 40% for Russia's involvement, remaining 20% for the use of Starlink

[image]This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through BlueSky. They will be resolved to PROB based on the...

Last updated: 2025-06-15
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 7
Volume: M1.4k

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-qENNECZq6d" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

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