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Will Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
5%
Very unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Refers to upper stage only.

Successfully caught means remains in one piece allowing inspection. It does not have to be capable of reflight, a few serious scratches would be ok as vehicle could be inspected.

Will extend deadline until one occurs. If neither is going to happen resolves na.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters29
VolumeM7.5k

Capture #

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Will Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught?
5%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2025-03-11

Refers to upper stage only.

Successfully caught means remains in one piece allowing inspection. It does not have to be capable of reflight, a few serious scratches would be ok as vehicle could be inspected.

Will extend deadline until one occurs. If...

Last updated: 2025-03-11
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 29
Volume: M7.5k

Embed #

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