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From the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest:
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/31044)Will resolve according to the Metaculus resolution:
This question will resolve as Yes if, in calendar year 2025, the US Congress has passed a bill which implements a 10% or greater across-the-board tariff on nearly all imports from all countries (or other across-the-board fee on imports, see the fine print for details). The tariff will still be considered to be across-the-board if it excludes 10 or fewer UN member states.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 18 |
| Volume | M16k |
From the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest:
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/31044)Will resolve according to the Metaculus resolution:
This question will resolve as Yes if, in calendar year 2025, the US Congress has passed a bill which...