We aren't currently maintaining Metaforecast. We hope to do so again in the future.
Resolves yes if the WHO states that there is conclusive evidence that microplastics exposure reduces human fertility before 01.01.2026. This needs to be stated as fact, so things like "some studies suggest", "might cause", ... don't count (see e.g. the clear statements on smoking: https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/tobacco).
Affecting the fertility of one sex is enough for yes resolution.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 12 |
| Volume | M2.2k |
Resolves yes if the WHO states that there is conclusive evidence that microplastics exposure reduces human fertility before 01.01.2026. This needs to be stated as fact, so things like "some studies suggest", "might cause", ... don't count (see e.g....