This question is about if Trump will exceed the expected presidential term in case he is elected this year.
Ways this might come to happen are among others
Trump running for a third term and winning
Postponing of the 2029 elections
Trump remaining in power as president for extended time due to a major global threat (like war)
Cancellation of the 2029 elections
Other major change in election rules that extends his presidency
In case there is a change in terminology or setup where post 2029 Trump is not holding the legal title of president, but holds all de factor all presidential powers, then this question might also resolve to "Yes", given there is agreement among the community that this reflects the situation justly.
If Trump is not elected as the 2025-2029 president, this question is resolved as N/A
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 54 |
| Volume | M15k |
This question is about if Trump will exceed the expected presidential term in case he is elected this year.
Ways this might come to happen are among others
Trump running for a third term and winning
Postponing of the 2029 elections
Trump...