Background

Representative Riley Moore (R-West Virginia) introduced the "Stop CCP VISAs Act," which proposes banning Chinese nationals from obtaining student visas to study in the United States.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to YES if before January 1, 2028:

The U.S. federal government enacts legislation, an executive order, or implements a policy that explicitly prohibits (or makes significantly more difficult) Chinese nationals from obtaining student visas (F-1, J-1, or equivalent) to attend universities in the United States.

It also counts if attendance of only a subset of subjects, degrees, or universities is restricted.

Threats to withdraw funding from universities who accept a significant number of Chinese students also count.

Update 2025-04-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional Clarification:

Only policies that specifically target Chinese nationals will be considered sufficient for a YES resolution.

A measure that bans or restricts all international students, even if including Chinese nationals, does not meet the resolution criteria.

Update 2025-05-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For a policy (as distinct from legislation or an executive order) to count towards a YES resolution, it must be actually implemented. This means its prohibitive measures must be in effect. Proposals or announcements of future policies are not sufficient on their own.

Update 2025-06-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For a U.S. federal government action (such as legislation, an executive order, or an implemented policy) that comes into effect briefly and is then subsequently withdrawn or overturned (e.g., by courts), it will count towards a YES resolution if it meets both of the following conditions:

The action remained in effect for more than 24 hours.

Students were actively kicked out of school as a direct result of the action while it was in effect.