This market is resolved when a permanent peace treaty is signed between Ukrainian and Russian governments, or the total capitulation of either side.
Sep 29, 9:44pm: added capitulation clause.
Oct 1, 12:37pm: A temporary ceasefire that lasts over a year without casualties, while Russia still occupies the territories in question will resolve market to YES.
Close date updated to 2025-12-23 11:59 pm
Close date updated to 2053-12-23 11:59 pm
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 253 |
| Volume | M36k |
This market is resolved when a permanent peace treaty is signed between Ukrainian and Russian governments, or the total capitulation of either side.
Sep 29, 9:44pm: added capitulation clause.
Oct 1, 12:37pm: A temporary ceasefire that lasts over a...