We aren't currently maintaining Metaforecast. We hope to do so again in the future.
"Adult" here will mean anyone over 21, not 18, since we already have laws preventing <21-year-olds from doing certain things to their body, like smoking or drinking.
The ban must be for existing types of gender-affirming care, not something new and experimental. (Medical interventions only, not stuff like name changes, dress, or pronoun usage.)
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 59 |
| Volume | M6.0k |
"Adult" here will mean anyone over 21, not 18, since we already have laws preventing <21-year-olds from doing certain things to their body, like smoking or drinking.
The ban must be for existing types of gender-affirming care, not something new and...