We aren't currently maintaining Metaforecast. We hope to do so again in the future.
Refer to the winners of @/singer/who-are-the-top-10-ai-researchers-a
This market resolves YES if one of the 10 winners of the above market claim that we are in a "winter" for AI at any time before 2026. Here are the names:
Ilya Sutskever
Yann LeCun
Andrej Karpathy
Yoshua Bengio
Geoffrey Hinton
Jürgen Schmidhuber
Alec Radford
Paul Christiano
Demis Hassabis
Eliezer Yudkowsky
The statement needs to be unambiguous and officially given by the person. Twitter is fine, but private conversations don't count.
I won't be betting in this market.
Related markets:
@/singer/will-one-of-these-ai-researchers-cl-cb787d497aeb@/singer/will-one-of-these-ai-researchers-cl-782af8e21597
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 35 |
| Volume | M3.2k |
Refer to the winners of @/singer/who-are-the-top-10-ai-researchers-a
This market resolves YES if one of the 10 winners of the above market claim that we are in a "winter" for AI at any time before 2026. Here are the names:
Ilya Sutskever
Yann...