Metaforecast is shutting down. The site will be taken offline on July 9, 2026.
If @NathanpmYoung asks Elon Musk on a date, to dinner, to attend an event, or to leave a formal role (with the US government or a company) by the end of 2025, or I see credible evidence that he's already done so, the question resolves yes. Otherwise resolves no.
[image]
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 12 |
| Volume | M242 |
If @NathanpmYoung asks Elon Musk on a date, to dinner, to attend an event, or to leave a formal role (with the US government or a company) by the end of 2025, or I see credible evidence that he's already done so, the question resolves yes. Otherwise...