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Will a proofnik make IMO before the end of 2028?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
99%
Virtually certain
Yes

Question description #

Former students count, can be any IMO team, not just US. Must participate in the IMO before the end of 2028, not just qualify for a team.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters18
VolumeM11k

Capture #

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Will a proofnik make IMO before the end of 2028?
99%
Virtually certain
Last updated: 2025-04-19

Former students count, can be any IMO team, not just US. Must participate in the IMO before the end of 2028, not just qualify for a team.

Last updated: 2025-04-19
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 18
Volume: M11k

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<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-uMjGXMXhk6ofDgG6NhTk" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

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