We aren't currently maintaining Metaforecast. We hope to do so again in the future.
The arbiter of truth is https://killedbygoogle.com/
An "LLM-based product" is any product with LLMs as a central feature, such as Gemini.
A product that incidentally uses LLM features doesn't count (e.g. if gmail spam filtering used LLMs, then somehow ceased to exist, that wouldn't count)
If https://killedbygoogle.com/ ceases to exist or becomes inactive then the market may be resolved at my own discretion (product cancellation announcements are usually fairly explicit, in any case).
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 28 |
| Volume | M1.7k |
The arbiter of truth is https://killedbygoogle.com/
An "LLM-based product" is any product with LLMs as a central feature, such as Gemini.
A product that incidentally uses LLM features doesn't count (e.g. if gmail spam filtering used LLMs, then...