This question resolves to 'Yes' if, by April 30th 2025, if:
There is a ceasefire deal proposed by either Ukraine or the United States
Russia doesn't accept it
The US pressures Russia in the ways below:
Relevant ways of pressuring include:
Announcing and implementing new economic sanctions targeting Russia
Restarting Ukraine lethal add/information sharing after the Russian refusal (but not before)
US boots on the ground
Otherwise this question resolves to "No"
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 43 |
| Volume | M4.1k |
This question resolves to 'Yes' if, by April 30th 2025, if:
There is a ceasefire deal proposed by either Ukraine or the United States
Russia doesn't accept it
The US pressures Russia in the ways below:
Relevant ways of pressuring...