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Will US Q2 GDP be positive?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
87%
Likely
Yes

Question description #

Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the second quarter of 2025 (Q2 2025) is reported as positive by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The official advance estimate, typically released in late July 2025, will be used for resolution. If the advance estimate indicates a positive GDP growth rate, the market resolves to "Yes"; if it indicates zero or negative growth, the market resolves to "No."

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters18
VolumeM1.2k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will US Q2 GDP be positive?
87%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-06-15

Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the second quarter of 2025 (Q2 2025) is reported as positive by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The official advance...

Last updated: 2025-06-15
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 18
Volume: M1.2k

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