MetaforecastStatus
SearchToolsAbout

‌

‌
‌
‌
‌
‌
‌

How many years until the singularity? (Since December 2022)

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
22%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

This market will be resolved when a recursively self-improving AI outpowers the combined might of human civilization. At least, I'll try my best to close it.

Dec 7, 6:04pm: How many years until the singularity? → How many years until the singularity? (Since December 2022)

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters47
VolumeM5.5k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
How many years until the singularity? (Since December 2022)
22%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-06-11

This market will be resolved when a recursively self-improving AI outpowers the combined might of human civilization. At least, I'll try my best to close it.

Dec 7, 6:04pm: How many years until the singularity? → How many years until the singularity...

Last updated: 2025-06-11
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 47
Volume: M5.5k

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-v9p1XHjULl12mLuddRG2" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

Preview