MetaforecastStatus
SearchToolsAbout

‌

‌
‌
‌
‌
‌
‌

Will evidence emerge that Gemini Ultra launch fiasco was result of Rationalist/EA sabotage by the end of Feb 2025?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Yes

Question description #

If the mainstream media or the mainstream tech media report that the people responsible for Red Team and care about Gemini Ultra fairness were actually trying to sabotage it because of their connections with anti-AI movements of Less Wrong, rationalism, and effective austrism, this market resolves to YES.

I won't bet.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters27
VolumeM3.0k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will evidence emerge that Gemini Ultra launch fiasco was result of Rationalist/EA sabotage by the end of Feb 2025?
1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2025-04-04

If the mainstream media or the mainstream tech media report that the people responsible for Red Team and care about Gemini Ultra fairness were actually trying to sabotage it because of their connections with anti-AI movements of Less Wrong,...

Last updated: 2025-04-04
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 27
Volume: M3.0k

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-vK0iCAUaoc7Xs6Q2HWRH" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

Preview