We aren't currently maintaining Metaforecast. We hope to do so again in the future.
Barron's claims that:
"If 60 million Americans got the weight-loss drugs and 90% of them benefited, that could translate to over a 1% boost to U.S. GDP from the bigger labor force and higher productivity"
Reference:
https://www.barrons.com/articles/why-ozempic-could-power-the-nations-gdp-234b346e
This market turns true if by 2030:
It's been empirically proven that the impact of obesity drug has led to at least 1% yearly GDP growth improvement in the USA, or
60 million Americans got the weight-loss in 2030, AND expert consensus seems to validate this growth claim. [In case of uncertain outcome, we may validate it through a manifold poll]
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 19 |
| Volume | M637 |
Barron's claims that:
"If 60 million Americans got the weight-loss drugs and 90% of them benefited, that could translate to over a 1% boost to U.S. GDP from the bigger labor force and higher productivity"
Reference:
https://www.barrons..