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Will Tucker Carlson relocate to Russia and spend more than two consecutive months there by December 31, 2025?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
13%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

꧁∙·▫ₒₒ▫ᵒᴼᵒ▫ₒₒ▫꧁ MarkMyWords Series ꧂▫ₒₒ▫ᵒᴼᵒ▫ₒₒ▫·∙꧂

https://www.reddit.com/r/MarkMyWords/comments/1f8ixvh/mmw_tucker_carlson_is_going_to_move_to_russia/

[image]Resolution Criteria:

The market will resolve as "Yes" if:

Tucker Carlson moves to Russia and spends more than 60 consecutive days there before or on December 31, 2025

There is credible evidence of his extended stay, such as public appearances, social media posts, or official statements

The market will resolve as "No" if:

Tucker Carlson does not relocate to Russia by December 31, 2025

He visits Russia but stays for 60 days or less consecutively

The market will resolve as "Invalid" if:

Tucker Carlson passes away before December 31, 2025

International travel restrictions or sanctions prevent him from entering or staying in Russia

Resolution Sources:

Official statements from Tucker Carlson or his representatives

Credible news reports from reputable international media outlets

Russian government announcements or visa records (if made public)

Social media posts or public appearances clearly indicating an extended stay in Russia

Closing Date: This market will close for trading on December 31, 2025, or when credible evidence of Carlson's 60+ day stay in Russia is confirmed, whichever comes first.Additional Notes:

The 60-day period must be consecutive; multiple shorter stays that add up to more than 60 days do not qualify

The specific reasons for the extended stay are not relevant to the resolution of this market

Collaboration with Russian media while residing in Russia is not required for a "Yes" resolution, only the duration of stay matters

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters27
VolumeM3.1k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will Tucker Carlson relocate to Russia and spend more than two consecutive months there by December 31, 2025?
13%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-25

꧁∙·▫ₒₒ▫ᵒᴼᵒ▫ₒₒ▫꧁ MarkMyWords Series ꧂▫ₒₒ▫ᵒᴼᵒ▫ₒₒ▫·∙꧂

https://www.reddit.com/r/MarkMyWords/comments/1f8ixvh/mmw_tucker_carlson_is_going_to_move_to_russia/

[image]Resolution Criteria:

The market will resolve as "Yes" if:

Tucker Carlson moves to...

Last updated: 2025-05-25
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 27
Volume: M3.1k

Embed #

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