MetaforecastStatus
SearchToolsAbout

‌

‌
‌
‌
‌
‌
‌

Will there be over 1000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2026?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
14%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

“My prediction is next year we’ll have over a thousand, maybe a few thousand, Optimus robots working at Tesla.”

https://x.com/SmokeAwayyy/status/1801400924096839732

[tweet]This was a prediction made during the Tesla 2024 Annual Stockholder Meeting.

I take "working" to mean autonomously deployed in factories and performing productive labor.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters144
VolumeM55k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will there be over 1000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2026?
14%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-06-09

“My prediction is next year we’ll have over a thousand, maybe a few thousand, Optimus robots working at Tesla.”

https://x.com/SmokeAwayyy/status/1801400924096839732

[tweet]This was a prediction made during the Tesla 2024 Annual Stockholder Meeting..

Last updated: 2025-06-09
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 144
Volume: M55k

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-vorv8r9o4l" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

Preview