We aren't currently maintaining Metaforecast. We hope to do so again in the future.
Will a smartphone device be released under any brand owned or created by Elon Musk?
Resolves YES if a smartphone device is launched under any of the following brands:
SpaceX/Starlink
Tesla
X/Twitter
xAI
Neuralink
Resolves YES if Musk creates or acquires a company and a smartphone is released under that brand.
Things that are not sufficient to resolve YES
A smartphone device launched under a brand previously associated with Musk (e.g., PayPal or OpenAI) but no longer under his control
A third-party license deal with a Musk brand. For example, Samsung releasing an "X/Twitter" phone would not qualify
In the case that affilliation with Musk is not clear, credible reporting will be used to determine the resolution.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 19 |
| Volume | M1.8k |
Will a smartphone device be released under any brand owned or created by Elon Musk?
Resolves YES if a smartphone device is launched under any of the following brands:
SpaceX/Starlink
Tesla
X/Twitter
xAI
Neuralink
Resolves YES if Musk creates...