We aren't currently maintaining Metaforecast. We hope to do so again in the future.
Details in this blog post. Barnett wins if:
By January 1, 2043, real gross world product exceeds 130% of its previous yearly peak value for any single year
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 28 |
| Volume | M12k |
Details in this blog post. Barnett wins if:
By January 1, 2043, real gross world product exceeds 130% of its previous yearly peak value for any single year