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Will any US state attempt to secede from the union within one year of the 2024 election?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
6%
Very unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Resolves Yes if any US state attempts to secede from the union by Nov 5th 2025.

Resolves No if not.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters19
VolumeM2.4k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will any US state attempt to secede from the union within one year of the 2024 election?
6%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-15

Resolves Yes if any US state attempts to secede from the union by Nov 5th 2025.

Resolves No if not.

Last updated: 2025-05-15
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 19
Volume: M2.4k

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-wPornimc6fPrxJeOdUkB" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

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