We aren't currently maintaining Metaforecast. We hope to do so again in the future.
Resolves to YES if a new soft-fork is proposed, implemented in Bitcoin Core, most miners update their software and somehow it is "locked in" by any means the community decides, such that the activation is imminent (even if the actual activation date is in 2026).
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 14 |
| Volume | M644 |
Resolves to YES if a new soft-fork is proposed, implemented in Bitcoin Core, most miners update their software and somehow it is "locked in" by any means the community decides, such that the activation is imminent (even if the actual activation date...