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Will a nuclear war wipe out humanity by 2030?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
9%
Very unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Resolves NO if humanity is still around in 2030. Otherwise, we just have to hope that who/whatever is left resolves it correctly.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters65
VolumeM19k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will a nuclear war wipe out humanity by 2030?
9%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-02

Resolves NO if humanity is still around in 2030. Otherwise, we just have to hope that who/whatever is left resolves it correctly.

Last updated: 2025-05-02
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 65
Volume: M19k

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-xncfLQOlWM8HzNITMwL4" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

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